June 13, 2017

Poll Watch: Opportunities and Blessings

I'm sure by now you've heard about the bizarre, "someone put something in the juice cups again" public portion of Trump's cabinet meeting. You know, the one where everyone sat around and told their fearless leader how fabulous he was?

Trump, of course, tooted his own horn.
Never has there been a president, with few exceptions - case of FDR, he had a major depression to handle - who has passed more legislation and who has done more things than what we've done. I think we've been about as active as you can possibly be at just about record-setting pace.
Oh, the #winning and the #recordsetting, #Icantstandit I truly can't. I don't know that anyone was prepared for Reince Priebus and his remarks, though.
On behalf of the entire senior staff around you, Mr. President, we thank you for the opportunity and the blessing that you've given us to serve you agenda and the American people. And we're continuing to work very hard every day to accomplish those goals. 
In light of his statement, and that of the others talking about the "honor" and "privilege" to serve this president, when they were simply asked to introduce themselves and the department they work in, I thought it would be fun to juxtapose the Cabinet members' sentiments with those of the American people.

Here are some key callouts from a recent Gallup poll
  • Trump's approval - 37% 
  • his weekly disapproval - 58%, highest of his administration
  • only 8% of Democrats approve; 83% of Republicans do.
The approval rating among republicans is down three points from his average, which is not a great sign, I don't think.  Among independents, his approval rating of 41% is five points lower than his average there. 

And, let's see what people are saying over at Public Policy Polling.

  • Angela Merkel (+11), Justin Trudeau (+11), Emmanuel Macron (+7) and even Theresa May (+4) are seen more favorably by Americans than our own president (-14) based on their net favorability scores/
  • Clinton voters particularly like Merkel and Trudeau; Trump voters only like the British PM.
  • Only 24% of all voters support the AHCA (aka the WeDon'tCare Act), with 55% opposing; only 42% o Republicans support the darn thing
  • Staying on health care, the ACA is the preferred path, with 51% approving vs. 34% not, and 35%  think the Republican's repeal and replace the right answer; 59% favor keep and fix.  

Dean Debnam, the president of PPP, tells us that
Six weeks after the initial passage of the AHCA voter anger over it isn't subsiding. It continues to be the biggest issue driving a Democratic advantage in 2018.
Why? Because, according to their polls, voters says they're less like to vote for a member of Congress who supported the ACHA (48%) than someone who favored it (24%).

Quinnipiac polling tells a similar story, one that is not all that positive for the president, regardless of his bigly opinion of himself. Let's look at Russia for example.

  • A majority of Americans think there's something amiss with Trump's own dealings with Russia; 31% this he did something illegal, with another 29% saying he did something unethical.
  • When it comes to Trump's campaign advisors, 40% think there was something illegal going on and 25% think there was unethical behavior. 
  • 54% think Trump is too friendly with Russia; 68% are "very" or "somewhat concerned" over Trump's relationship with Russia, a country 45% of voters think is our adversary, not our ally (only 8%). 
Those numbers aren't out of line, given the general lack of consideration for ethical behaviors show by everyone from the lawyers to the cabinet members, and of course there's the Trump Organization, and the bad charities, and the Access Hollywood tape, and more.  Back to the poll:

  • Trump's approval rating is even lower -- 34%, down from 37% in May and 35% in April.  
It gets worse.
  • 68% say Trump is not level-headed (although 64% of Republicans think he is).
  • 59% think he is not honest
  • 58% think he doesn't have good leadership skills
  • 58% think he doesn't care about average Americans
  • 64% think he doesn't share their values
There was some good news, though, which I'm sure will make it into an early morning tweet.
  • 62% think he's a strong person; 57% think he's intelligent. 
Even at Fox News, the poll is not showing great things.
  • 53% think Trump's agenda and presidency are coming apart
  • On taxes, 54% think our current system is worth keeping, with some tweaks - but not major changes
  • On the AHCA, 54% oppose the bill; 45% strongly oppose it. 
  • 53% think Obamacare has been good for the country (in 2014, 52% thought it was bad for the country)
  • Only 51%  are concerned about illegal immigration, a drop from 71% back in September 2010
  • And, finally, on climate change, the pendulum has swung from 46% concerned (February 2013) to 60% in the most recent poll

Sure, Reince, the blessings are great, but even among his most friendly audience, things are not looking so good. 

Perhaps there are some other opportunities out there you might want to look at?